Hock Seng Lee HSL Target Price RM2.50 by OSK Research

Last year, HSL managed to secure RM532 million worth of jobs, which marginally surpassed our RM500 million target. This year, management is confident of bagging another RM500 million in new wins, with an upside potential of RM600 million, versus our assumption of a conservative RM400 million. In the near term, HSL may bag two road packages collectively worth RM150 million. It is also eyeing the Tg Manis port extension (RM300 million), Mukah airport extension (RM300 million), an education facility (RM260 million) and a flyover job (RM100 million).

We understand that the government intends to implement a mass affordable housing project across Sarawak worth RM1 billion. Another RM1 billion has also been allocated for rural infrastructure and utilities. While these jobs are sizeable, they will be broken up into packages worth RM20 million to RM30 million each, and we expect HSL to win some.

The management indicated that Phase 2 of the Kuching Wastewater Project is now 30% complete and on track for the 2Q2014 deadline. HSL has submitted its proposal for Phase 2 (RM500 million), with the results possibly made known after the state elections. The entire job over 4 phases is worth RM2.2 billion.

Given HSL's experience with Phase 1 and possession of the necessary equipment, we think it stands a good chance with the subsequent phases. We also gather that HSL is in discussions on a concession to maintain the wastewater system once it is completed.

The bulk of HSL's billings for the RM452 million Kuching sewerage project and the high-end The Leaf property sales should start accruing from this year, along with FY10's RM532 million new contracts.

Year-to-date, its order book replenishment stands at RM108 million, representing nearly a quarter of our FY11F new contract assumptions and nearly twice that of the same period last year.

The group is targeting RM550 million (our assumption is RM500 million) new contracts this year; with a particular focus on the Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy's (Score) agro-based growth node of Tanjung Manis.

Projects earmarked by HSL in Tanjung Manis this year include the RM350 million deepsea port extension, more than 100km of access roads and various high-margin marine civil works.

Also expected this year is the announcement of the remaining packages of RM2 billion worth of road jobs linking Score's energy sites involving 21 open tenders that were closed last year. HSL has tendered for seven of these.

Each package is valued at RM50 million to RM150 million. IJM Corp, Cahya Mata Sarawak Bhd (CMSB) and Loh & Loh Bhd Corp Bhd secured the early packages last year.